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Portfolio

Don’t sell your long duration bonds

The major source of bond returns have come from coupons, not capital gains over the past seven years. ETF Securities expects a gradual flattening of the US Treasury yield curve, providing grounds for holding long duration bonds.

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The UK to enter the economic doldrums

A combination of weaker loan growth, sterling weakness, squeezed corporate margins and negative real wages are likely to push the UK into a period of very low growth in the coming year. UK corporates have seen a substantial deterioration in interest cover, and falling earnings caused by a weakening economy are likely to exacerbate the deteriorating economic growth outlook.

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